Influenza: What If We Had a Sept. 11th Every Month and Nobody Cared?

A think tank in Australia released a report claiming that an influenza pandemic might kill over 140 million people. So, after spending most of my professional career examining the evolution of infectious disease, I think...I don't have any idea if a pandemic influenza strain will evolve. Ultimately, we're trying to anticipate a unique historically contingent event: placing a probability on the likelihood that this would happen is foolish.
Personally, I think a pandemic is a low probability event, but likely enough to worry about. Why? There is one little datum that scares the hell out of me: amantadine resistance. ...